Agnico Eagle is a gold miner with mines in Canada, Mexico, Finland, and Australia... Show more
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited is Canada's largest mining company and the second-largest gold producer in the world. Founded in 1957 and headquartered in Toronto, the company operates mines in Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico, with the majority of output concentrated in politically stable Canadian jurisdictions such as Quebec and Ontario. It has declared a cash dividend every year since 1983.
Investors follow AEM for its disciplined cost control, low political risk, and strong balance sheet. The company ended 2025 with record free cash flow of roughly $4.4 billion on about 3.45 million ounces of gold production, and it entered 2026 in a net cash position of approximately $2.9 billion against only about $197 million of debt. Fitch upgraded the company to A− in April 2026. Its earnings remain highly leveraged to the gold price, which is why the stock tends to amplify moves in bullion.
Over the last 30 days, AEM fell about 11%, declining from a closing level near $195.57 on September 23, 2026, to approximately $173.94 on October 23, 2026. The slide was driven primarily by weakness in gold, which dropped below $4,050 an ounce in late October to its lowest level since early August.
The quarterly picture is more positive. Over the last three months, AEM is still up roughly 20%, rising from about $144.51 in late July to its current level. That gain came largely during a strong rally from mid-July through late August, when the stock climbed toward the $224 area before giving back much of the advance through September and October.
The dominant factor behind the 30-day decline was the gold price. After reaching record territory earlier in 2026, bullion corrected as a higher-than-expected September Consumer Price Index reading shifted market expectations toward additional Federal Reserve tightening. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, futures markets priced in roughly an 88% probability that the Fed's benchmark rate would be higher by December. Rising Treasury yields and a firmer U.S. dollar both work against gold, and mining equities followed the metal lower.
Company-specific catalysts compounded the move. On October 22, Freedom Broker downgraded AEM to Hold as part of a broader cut across major gold producers, and shares slid about 6.4% in a single session. Analysts had also been trimming estimates: Zacks Research lowered its third-quarter EPS forecast to $2.59 from $3.13, and consensus estimates for the quarter pointed to earnings below the $3.05 reported in the second quarter. With third-quarter results due October 28, some investors moved to reduce exposure ahead of the report.
Over the past three months, AEM's roughly 20% gain was driven by a powerful mid-summer rally in gold. Bullion climbed from its July 16 year-to-date low through late August on safe-haven demand and continued central-bank buying, lifting the entire senior-producer group.
Fundamentals reinforced the move. Agnico Eagle's second-quarter results beat expectations, with earnings per share of $3.05 versus a $2.89 consensus, revenue up 35% year over year to about $3.77 billion, and record quarterly free cash flow of roughly $1.3 billion. The company also advanced its Hope Bay project in Nunavut into construction and continued portfolio recycling by divesting its Delta and Helm Bay projects to Vizsla Copper. UBS raised its price target on AEM to $190 from $170 in October. These positives supported the stock even as the subsequent gold correction trimmed its gains.
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The most immediate catalyst is Agnico Eagle's third-quarter earnings report, scheduled for release on October 28, along with management's guidance on production, all-in sustaining costs, and free cash flow. The company has guided to payable gold production of 3.3 to 3.5 million ounces annually from 2026 through 2028, with costs expected to trend toward $1,400–$1,550 per ounce.
Beyond earnings, investors should monitor the gold price and the path of U.S. monetary policy, since higher yields and a stronger dollar have been the principal headwinds. Central-bank gold purchases, which have provided structural demand, and progress at the Hope Bay project are also key variables. Analysts hold a consensus Moderate Buy rating on the stock, though individual targets vary, and any revision following the quarterly report could influence sentiment. As always, the shares' operating leverage to gold means the metal's direction is likely to remain the single most important driver.
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Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where AEM declined for three days, in 165 of 237 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AEM as a result. In 51 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AEM turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 33 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 63%.
AEM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AEM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator for AEM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for AEM moved above the 200-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +4.22% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEM advanced for three days, in 252 of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
AEM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AEM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.961) is normal, around the industry mean (1.936). P/E Ratio (14.273) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.175). AEM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (30.116) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.373) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.766) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a developer of gold mineral properties
Industry PreciousMetals